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1. Give
me some useful tips on India stock market which I can use while trading.
Ans. While trading in stock markets or in any
other markets one should always remember that losses are part of the system,
so take them as part of your
business of stock trading. Take small losses objectively
and you should not be emotional about them. Try to have a
stop loss in your mind before you enter a position even if
it is shorting the stock. If you
are not disciplined to take small losses, don't be in
trading. Remember that staying with a losing position is
punishing yourself psychologically as the opportunity to trade in another
stock is lost. 70% of your trading is
testing of your psychological skills. The markets test
your psychological nerves to make you out of the main
trend of the stock market. The stock price
stays where it is, but people either give losses and leave
or are unable to trade without a strategy.
While trading there are two types of capital namely
-
Psychological capital and
Money capital
Psychological capital if once lost, then the money capital
soon follows. (Psychological capital has more to do with
one's mental make up and control over himself)
Try to do a partial profit taking by booking a profit in
25% of your position once it reaches a certain level and
then again do a profit taking of next 25% once it reaches
your next level. Similarly take your stop loss higher.
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2. How
do I know that the stock markets are coming out of a
bearish phase, making a bottom and that I
should start buying stocks. What should be my strategy
once the markets are turning bullish?
Ans. When the markets are near the bottom, the index
starts losing momentum of the fall and the most important observation
at that time one should try to make is that when the index
makes a new bottom, a lot of cash stocks will be making
higher bottom or lows. (Note down this list of stocks which are
making higher lows and start taking a 25% exposure of
your capital in these stocks). Once a higher bottom higher
top is formed on index, then take an aggressive position
in those cash stocks and hold them till you do not find
problem in the index at higher levels. The stop loss will
be the previous bottom of the index. Remember that in
stock markets one can't be certain of anything and it is
only the possibilities and probability you have to see.
But while trading always try to have a good risk reward
ratio, i.e. reward should be more than risk. |
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3.What
is the significance of number 3 in the stock markets in
India?
Ans. The number 3 has a lot of significance as you
have a bull market, a bear market or a side ways market.
Normally a good rally or a good fall lasts for 3 months or 3 weeks or 3 days
and after that the counter rally starts. |
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4. How can we come to know that the Indian stock
market or for that matter any stock market around the
world is near the top?
Ans. When markets are near a top, there is extreme
optimism in the minds of the investing public. All good
news is coming in the stock markets and at times the stocks
suddenly go up by 20% and there are sudden blow offs to
take an immediate dip. Do not try to short stocks early at the top as the stop loss is
generally triggered very fast. Have patience. Rather start observing the
52 week high, new 52 week low ratio to see if new 52 week
highs are reducing. Also keep observing the advance decline
ratio as it will tell the health of the stock market at
the top. Normally a bull market does not reverse overnight
but takes at least 3 months to top off. |
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5. Can you please elaborate on the psychology of trading
which any trader or investor should keep in mind while
trading in stock markets ?
Ans. The 3 most important elements which you need
to have control over and conquer them are HOPE, FEAR and GREED.
At times it has been seen that even though you are able to develop a good
system, you get early signals to trade, yet you loose. It
is because that you are psychologically still not fit
to trade. There is some difference between other business traders
and a stock trader. In other businesses you need
to control your sales, production and you start making
profits which might be more or less, whereas a stock
trader does not know whether he will have a profit or a
loss on each trade as the chances of making profits or
losses are equal. A stock trader should normally go with the direction or
trend of the market. One should never hope that the stock
will go up without a valid reason and evidence. Do not go
on holding to losing stock only hoping that it will go
down or go up as per your wish. Hope
will only make you
hopeless.
HOPE IS A GOOD BREAKFAST,
BUT A BAD SUPPER.
Fear of missing the move will make you enter the stock
market early and will take you out by the time really
starts.
Greed will always make you over trade. A greedy
person will try to borrow and take more risky moves to get
more profits which will give rise to his fear of losing.
Never let ego come into your trading as once you are convinced
that stock will go up, then no matter you will not accept the
fact that it can come down also which will give you a lot
of losses. Be always ready to admit your mistakes. |
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Assumptions
We believe that every trader goes through the
three stages |
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Trading Rules
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Strictly Technical
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